Onset and Progression of Infection Based on Viral Loads in Rhesus Macaques Exposed to Zika Virus

Outbreaks of Zika virus (ZIKV) have resulted in a call by global health advocates for increased surveillance and research with aggressive measures to combat ZIKV infections. There is no licensed ZIKV vaccine yet available, but a number of vaccine candidates are in development. Advancement of promising vaccine candidates to licensure may rely upon the development and use of well-characterized preclinical models developed based on the essential elements of an animal model as outlined in the U.S. FDA “Product Development Under the Animal Rule: Guidance for Industry”. Further, in the absence of adequate clinical cases to support a more traditional approval pathway based on clinical efficacy, regulatory approval could be based upon human safety data and use of a well-characterized animal model to evaluate vaccine efficacy. This report summarizes a statistical analysis that characterizes the progression of ZIKV infection in Rhesus macaques (RMs) with respect to viral load using available data on twenty-six (26) RMs from three (3) studies that were exposed to ZIKV and were not immunized with a ZIKV vaccine. Progression of infection was characterized by time to detection of viral RNA in serum (RT-qPCR) or time to positive viremia (plaque assay). Viral RNA was detected via RT-qPCR as early as day 1 post-infection and was undetectable for all animals by day 7. Viremia also was indicated by plaque assay as early as day 1 and was undetectable for all animals by day 5. Viral RNA was detected in all animals following exposure, while viremia was not observed in all animals. No significant differences in viral loads measured by either RT-qPCR or plaque assay were observed across sex, age, or study. Neither sex nor age were significant predictors of either time to detection of viral RNA or time to positive viremia following exposure to ZIKV. Progression of viral load, which is studied since infection is largely asymptomatic in both RMs and humans, is similar in RMs and humans with positive presentation ranging from 1 to 7 days post-infection and clearance by day 10. Overall, due to consistency of the model across sexes and ages and similarity to the infection profile in humans, it is concluded that the RM model of ZIKV infection is a well-characterized model for use for evaluation of ZIKV countermeasures.